Coronavirus
Tracking India’s Steps to Contain Economic Fallout of the Virus
(Bloomberg) — India’s government and central bank are trying to cushion an economy that was slowing even before the coronavirus outbreak.
Here’s a guide to the measures announced so far:
For Banks:
CHEAPER CASH: A series of steps announced this year aim to encourage banks to lend. Measures announced by the Reserve Bank of India since early February inject cash equivalent to 3.2% of the country’s gross domestic output
- Banks don’t need to set aside cash reserves for loans given to small businesses between Jan. 31 to July 31, or for credit to help consumers buy a car or home (announced Feb. 6)
- Policy lending rate — the repurchase rate — cut by 75 basis points in a single move this year. However, the effective deposit rate has been slashed by 90 basis points to discourage lenders from playing safe and parking the cash with the RBI (March 27)
- Cash Reserve Ratio reduced to 3% from 4% (March 27)
LOAN FREEZE: RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das has stopped the clock on loan repayments amid an unprecedented three-week lockdown announced by Prime Minister Narendra Modi
- All lenders can freeze repayments for three months on term loans outstanding March 1
- Lenders allowed to suspend interest payments on working capital facilities for three months; accumulated interest can be paid later and the loans won’t be in default
- The steps add to previous measures which allow a one-off restructuring of loans to small businesses that were in default as of Jan. 1
- Loans to commercial property projects that are delayed for reasons beyond the control of the developer are allowed to be treated as standard for another year
REGULATORY DEFERRALS: Implementation of stricter regulations have been delayed
- Rules requiring banks to fund their activities through stable sources has been deferred to Oct. 1 from April 1
- Completion of Capital Conservation Buffer pushed to Sept. 30 from March 31
Sovereign Bonds and Rupee:
MORE MONEY: The RBI has been injecting additional liquidity in the banking system to keep down bond yields
- At its February policy review, the RBI said it will provide 1 trillion rupees of one- and three-year cash at the policy rate via long-term repo operations to help monetary transmission (Feb. 6)
- The RBI ramped up these measures in March, with several key steps coming in an emergency announcement March 27
- Two variable rate repo operations of 500 billion rupees to fine-tune liquidity at the financial year end
- Enhanced a temporary liquidity tap for primary bond underwriters to 100 billion rupees from 28 billion rupees
- 1 trillion rupees of LTROs
- Open market purchase of govt bonds worth 100 billion rupees March 20; another total 300 billion rupees of OMO purchases March 24 and March 26
- 1 trillion rupees via 16-day variable rate repos
- 1 trillion rupees of targeted long term funds from the central bank to banks for investing only in corporate bonds, aimed at easing cash crunch at firms
INVITING FOREIGNERS: India opened up a wide swath of its sovereign bond market to overseas investors, taking its biggest step yet to secure access to global indexes as the government embarks on a record borrowing plan
LIMIT BORROWING: India announced a fiscal first-half borrowing number that’s lower than what traders expected, as it seeks to check any rise in yields amid a global risk aversion that’s sparked outflows from emerging markets
MORE DOLLARS: RBI pledged to inject dollars through dollar-rupee swaps
Two $2 billion swap lines each for March 16 and March 23 provided $2.7 billion
SHORTER TRADING HOURS: Trading in sovereign debt and the rupee will be held from 10 a.m. to 2 p.m. Mumbai time starting April 7 through April 17. These markets normally worked from 9 a.m. to 5 p.m.
For Capital Markets:
- Allows companies additional 45 days for declaring their quarterly and annual results; extends the date for submission of corporate governance report by a month; company boards exempted from provision of maximum time gap between two meetings (March 19)
- Trading margin in stocks increased, market-wide position reduced to ease volatility in stocks (March 20)
- Compliance requirements relaxed for ReITs, InVITS, extends deadline for risk management rules for liquid mutual funds; timeline for filing debenture and preference share issues extended (March 23)
- Capital, debt market services exempt from lockdown (March 25)
- Allows top 100 listed companies another month to comply with the requirements of holding annual general meeting (March 26)
- Shareholders allowed 45 more days to disclose their consolidated shareholding in companies for the financial year ending March 31 (March 27)
- Relaxed the recognition of default by local credit rating companies if a delay in payment of interest or principal is due; allows foreign portfolio investors relaxation in document processing (March 30)
For States and Wider Economy
- EXPORTS: The time period for realization and repatriation of export proceeds for shipments before July 31 extended to 15 months to provide greater flexibility to exporters in negotiating future export contracts with buyers abroad
- STATES’ BORROWING: State administrations have been permitted to borrow as much as half their annual target for the year starting April 1 whenever they choose. In a typical year, strict rules would govern the timetable, which would include cash transfers from the federal government that are now under threat as the lockdown erodes revenue.
- RBI decided to increase the Ways and Means limit — short term funding cap — by 30% for all states to enable them to “tide over the situation.” Revised limits came into effect April 1, and will be valid for six months
- Eases states’ overdraft rules through Sept. 30 to handle cashflow mismatches
For Consumers:
- FREE FOOD AND FUEL: 800 million poor people will get 5 kilograms wheat or rice and 1 kg pulses every month during April to June; 80 million families to get free cooking gas
- CASH TRANSFERS: 200 million women with basic bank accounts will get 500 rupees a month until June; 30 million senior citizens, widows and disabled to get 1,000 rupees; 87 million farmers will be immediately paid 2,000 rupees under an existing program
- INSURANCE: 2.2 million health workers fighting COVID-19 will get an insurance cover of 5 million rupees
- JOBS AND WAGES: For people earning less than 15,000 rupees a month, government will pay 24% of their monthly wages that feed into pension and provident fund accounts; Wages under job guarantee program increased to provide annual benefit of 2,000 rupees to a worker
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